Although this bet is admittedly square, the Stanford product has proved very efficient at clearing this number. Through 18 regular and postseason games, McCaffrey has cleared this number 10 times and surpassed 90 in 11 games.

When you put McCaffrey up against a bad rush defense, he excels. In nine games against sides 22nd or worse in rush EPA per play for the season, McCaffrey is against this number and has cleared yards in a majority in four of seven successes. As a result, bet on him to clear this number for the third straight game.

This shapes up as a great sell-high spot on the 49ers defense for one particular reason. Plus, bettors have previously seen the 49ers defense struggle indoors against good tight ends.

Against Arizona in Week 15, they surrendered a yard completion to Trey McBride. All the way back in Week 7 against Minnesota, they allowed a yard long to T. Those two teams sit second and third, respectively, in tight end target share.

Just in their last five games against teams 10th or higher in tight end target share — Vikings, Jaguars, Cardinals, Ravens and Lions — the 49ers have allowed a majority of opposing tight ends to clear this number.

Further, the 49ers deploy zone coverage at the fifth-highest rate in the NFL. Pacheco has cleared this number in four straight games and notched at least 80 yards in three of those successes. In Super Bowl LVIII, he faces a 49ers rush defense that has left a lot to be desired in their two playoff games.

Against the Packers, San Francisco surrendered rushing yards to Aaron Jones on only 18 attempts. In the NFC Championship against Detroit, the 49ers allowed 93 yards on only 15 carries to David Montgomery and 45 yards on 12 attempts to Jahmyr Gibbs.

Is there a chance they correct that trend with time to prepare? Since acquiring Chase Young from the Commanders, the 49ers rank 23rd in rush EPA per play and 29th in rushing success rate. That should allow ample opportunity for Pacheco, who managed 69 yards against a Ravens side seventh in rush defense DVOA, per ftnfantasy.

This is a great buy-low spot on Samuel, who rushed for only seven yards against the Lions in the NFC Championship. However, the Lions count themselves amongst the best run-stopping units in the league. Playoffs included, Detroit ranks sixth in rushing EPA per play allowed.

Now Samuel faces a Chiefs team much worse in that category. Playoffs included, the Chiefs rank 28th in rush EPA per play allowed and 23rd in rush success rate allowed.

Plus, Samuel excelled against the Chiefs when these sides met in Super Bowl LIV. Although he received only three carries, he notched 53 rushing yards. The key number here for Samuel is that he notches at least three rushing attempts against the Chiefs.

In seven regular-season games in which he received at least three carries, he surpassed this number five times. I recognize this game is indoors and that passers are aided in that scenario.

However, counterbalancing that trend is the fact both teams excel in coverage. Excluding Week 18 — both teams rested starters in that contest — the Chiefs ranked third in pass EPA per play while the 49ers ranked fifth.

Plus, both quarterbacks struggled to rack up yardage in their playoff performances. Niners quarterback Brock Purdy stayed under yards against the Packers and Lions — sides that ranked 23rd and 29th in pass EPA per play allowed, respectively.

As for Patrick Mahomes, he stayed under yards in all three games while averaging only yards against the Bills and Ravens. In five games against sides 10th or better in passing EPA per play allowed, Mahomes averaged yards, a number inflated by a yard performance against the Jaguars.

As for Purdy, he also played five games against sides 10th or better in passing EPA per play allowed. In those games, he averaged For those reasons, Back the under on Sunday. Starters Aaron Banks, Jake Brendel and Spencer Burford rank terribly in pass protection.

Even more concerning, of the three total sacks the 49ers allowed to opposing defensive players in the playoffs, two came from opposing defensive tackles.

For reference, the next closest Kansas City player in that category is Tershawn Wharton, who ranks 37th. Even if you expand the sample to include all defensive players rather than just interior linemen, Jones ranks ninth overall.

The next closest Chiefs player? George Karlaftis in 73rd. Butker has proved extremely reliable this season for the Chiefs on his way to zero extra point misses and only two field goal misses. Both of those misses came outdoors, so he should thrive indoors, where his range likely extends beyond 50 yards.

In terms of his record against this number, Butker cleared this number 10 times during the regular season and twice during the postseason. What really gives me confidence in this prop, though, is that San Francisco has shown that opponents can move the ball on their defense.

Bet £10 And Get £40 in Bonuses. By Bill Speros Jan 25th, PM CET 10 mins. The NFL betting schedule offers its penultimate game Sunday evening. The Detroit Lions visit the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship Game. Kickoff is set for p. ET and the game airs on FOX. The 49ers earned the top seed in the NFC and held off the Packers in the Divisional Round.

The Lions beat the LA Rams and Tampa Bay Buccaneers at home to reach the conferment title game. The 49ers and Packers played in the rain last week during the Divisional round.

This weekend, the weather is expected to be perfect for football, or just about anything else. Temperatures will be in the high 60s around kickoff under partly cloudy skies.

RELATED: Oldest Youngest Teams And Players In The NFL Playoffs. NFL odds opened with the 49ers as 6. Early money quickly pushed the number to -7, before it moved to 7. The total is a lofty com Senior Betting Analyst Bill Speros gives his best player prop bets on sports betting apps ahead of the NFC Championship Game.

Here are our best NFC Championship Game player prop bets to back on sports betting apps today. The betting odds might have changed since the time of publication. For the most updated odds, please check the betting apps.

Odds : at FanDuel. Best Bets: George Kittle crushed his total of Kittle was primed for a big week coming off a two-week rest period. And the 49ers needed to control the ball and clock after losing Deebo Samuel.

This means QB Brock Purdy , who we expect to be under immense pressure all day, will be looking for his safety play — Kittle over the middle and Christian McCaffrey on the swing pass.

Best Bet: We like Brandon Aiyuk going over 5. Baker Mayfield threw for yards, and 2 TDs against the Lions. Mike Evans boosted his free-agency status with 8 catches for yards — and that was with 2 balls falling in and out of his hands. Three, the Lions have allowed 13 different receivers to make 6 or more catches in a game this season.

Best Bet: The Lions will be pressuring Brock Purdy from both sides on the edge. Purdy will be hit each time he throws the ball in this game. And the Lions, despite giving up yards to Mayfield, picked him off twice Sunday, including his final attempt of the game.

And Detroit offers a ferocious pass rush similar to the one he faced in giving up 4 picks to the Ravens in Week Odds : at DraftKings. Best Bet : Jared Goff has already won an NFC Championship Game on the road.

Of course, it was 5 years ago, and he got some help from the refs in New Orleans. Still, Goff has morphed into a borderline elite QB. He threw the ball 43 times last week and should come to close to that number again this time. Goff is averaging The Lions signed Zach Ertz at TE this week, and Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery should each get at least 3 targets out of the backfield.

Best Bet: Amon-Ra St. Brown gives Jared Goff a reliable target and someone who can find open space. Brown matches up well with the San Francisco secondary. While St. Brown will often find himself in drop-zone coverage, he can get away from anyone in the league.

The 49ers will be concerned with Gibbs and Sam LaPorta in the Red Zone. And with St. We use cookies to improve our service and to enhance your user experience. For more information, or to change your cookie settings, please click Privacy Policy.

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Best Bets: No player on the 49ers should benefit more from their two-week effectively break than the banged-up and bruised George Kittle. Kittle has gone over this number in his past 4 games that mattered in terms of the 49ers playoff fate and in 10 of his 16 games this season.

The Packers have to focus on containing Christian McCaffrey. And in limiting Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk in yards after the catch. That means Kittle will be often alone in man coverage against a linebacker.

Easy pickings for Brock Purdy. We use cookies to improve our service and to enhance your user experience. For more information, or to change your cookie settings, please click Privacy Policy.

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